Participated in a webinar hosted by Elcano Royal Institute on “North Korea’s Public Health System: contemporary challenges and cooperation opportunities for Europe.” We had very fruitful discussion and I am very much looking forward to the continuation of this project.
On North Korea in Norwegian : VG KRONIKK: ”TØFFERE PRESS OG SANKSJONER MOT NORD-KOREA ER INEFFEKTIVT OG KANSKJE OGSÅ KONTRAPRODUKTIVT”
Today Prof, Linus Hagström, Dr. Ulv Hansen and myself contribute with an op-ed on North Korea in Sweden’s biggest newspaper (DN Debatt).
”Allt bör göras för att bygga relationer med Nordkorea” http://www.dn.se/debatt/allt-bor-goras-for-att-bygga-relationer-med-nordkorea/
We address the question about how to understand North Korea and how to handle the threat it poses. Our interpretation is that the North Korean leadership aims to gain international recognition and status, thus to focus on nuclear weapons are not surprising as they are a hallmark of most “great powers”. It is clear from history what might happen without nuclear capability (think Libya and Iraq).
Thus, for diplomatic initiatives to be successful they need to address the North Korean feeling of insecurity. Until this is done, the most realistic “solution” is for us to learn to live with a certain level of uncertainty in the case of North Korea, in the same way as we have learned to live with other nuclear powers with many more nuclear weapons.
A fundamental question here is why do we perceive the threat from North Korea so different and so much larger than that of the others? We think this that a key difference is that there is a lack of relations and interactions with North Korea. There is a need to build such relations, in particular on the unofficial level. We should put a lot of effort into supporting the emerging middle class in North Korea, both by supplying their black markets that do exist with foreign goods and to actively spread information about life in other countries, in particular in South Korea. While there are moral issues with enhancing relations with a country as North Korea, we believe that such relations are a necessary step to enhance the living conditions of the North Korean people.
Interviewed by KIT on whether ther will be a war in North Korea. My part is in chapter 4, but the whole article is quite nice (in Swedish).
New open access article in Washington Quarterly – “Sanctions Reconsidered: the Path Forward with North Korea”.
Read it to understand how North Korea survives, why sanctions (do not) work and what to do about it.
Today I spoke at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs on North Korea and East Asian Security – see http://www.ui.se/evenemang/north-korea-and-east-asian-security. I was telling the story about why North Korea survives despite unprecedented international sanctions and what to do about the security situation on the Korean Peninsula.
In my last publication I analyse how North Korea the supply-lines that make North Korea survive and what the potential role of
sanctions are to make North Korea change.
Keeping alive: Understanding North Korea’s supply lines and the potential role of sanctions (UI Paper no. 6, Stockholm: The Swedish Institute of International Affairs, 2014).